July 15, 2019

Hull, Burnley and Mansfield have Britain’s highest smoking levels

Analysis for Hull, Burnley and Mansfield

PML analysis ranks the smoking prevalence for every constituency for the first time

Hull, Burnley and Mansfield have the highest smoking levels in Britain according to new analysis by Philip Morris Ltd (PML). The results show that out of the 100 seats with the highest smoking prevalence, 64 are Labour-held seats, 16 Conservative and 15 SNP. Almost two thirds of the seats in the bottom 100 are in the North (44) and Scotland (16), with 20 in the South, 15 in the Midlands and 5 in Wales. 4 of the 10 seats with the highest smoking levels are Conservative held and 6 are Labour seats, with 4 of these 10 in the South East. PML has created the Unsmoke Constituency Heatmap to rank every Parliamentary seat in Great Britain, using the latest statistics from the Office for National Statistics (ONS)1. The results can be found here.

The Unsmoke Constituency Heatmap shows wider variations by political party:
• Labour held constituencies of Kingston upon Hull North and Kingston upon Hull East shared the highest smoking levels (26.1%) followed by Labour held Burnley (24.8%) and Conservative held Mansfield (23.1%)
• Kenneth Clarke MP’s Conservative seat, Rushcliffe, had the lowest levels in the whole of Britain (3.6%) followed by current Liberal Democrat Leader, Sir Vince Cable MP’s Twickenham constituency (5.9%). Jeremy Hunt MP’s seat of South West Surrey was fourth in the rankings (7.1%).
• Nearly 70% of SNP seats are in the bottom third of the prevalence rankings. No seats in the top 100 are represented by the SNP. All of Plaid Cymru’s 4 seats are in the bottom half of the rankings.
• In the 100 seats with the lowest smoking levels, 79 are Conservative held, 17 Labour and 4 Lib Dem.

The new figures found stark differences across countries and regions:
• 49 of the 50 constituencies in Britain with the lowest smoking levels are in England. There are no Welsh constituencies higher than 232 and Scotland only has 9 seats in the top 250.
• In England, smoking prevalence in Northern constituencies is over 2% higher than those in the South. In the Midlands, the level is just above the average in England of 14.4%.
• Two thirds of all London constituencies (50 out of 73) are in the top half of the ranking.

Mark MacGregor, External Affairs Director at PML, believes this is the first time most MPs will be made aware of the smoking levels in their constituencies and hopes the results will help decision makers to concentrate on support for smokers: “These results show the huge variations in smoking levels across the different parts of Britain. We hope MPs will use the figures to better target help for smokers locally, particularly in seats with the highest smoking prevalence. If the Government is to meet its ambitious target, one of the keys to getting smoking prevalence down will be ensuring smokers who don’t quit, understand that alternatives, like e-cigarettes and heated tobacco, are significantly better than continuing to smoke.”

Table 1: Top 10 constituencies with lowest smoking levels

Constituency

Average prevalence of constituency (%)

Constituency ranking for smoking prevalence

Rushcliffe

3.6

1

Twickenham

5.9

2

Mid Worcestershire

6.8

3

South West Surrey

7.1

4

Chesham and Amersham

7.1

5

Harborough

7.3

6

Esher and Walton

7.7

7

East Hampshire

7.8

8

Chorley

8.0

9

Epsom and Ewell

8.2

10



Table 2: Bottom 10 constituencies with highest smoking levels

Constituency

Average prevalence of constituency (%)

Constituency ranking for smoking prevalence

Great Grimsby

21.2

623

Sittingbourne and Sheppey

21.3

624

Slough

21.3

625

Ashford

21.6

626

Folkestone and Hythe

22.2

627

Barking

22.4

628

Mansfield

23.1

629

Burnley

24.8

630

Kingston upon Hull East

26.1

631

Kingston upon Hull North

26.1

632


ONS: Smoking habits in the UK and its constituent countries, July 2019, Dataset

Methodology
This analysis takes ONS 2018 smoking prevalence rates, currently listed by local authority, and maps them onto Parliamentary constituency boundaries.
The analysis uses data from Table 4 of the ONS 2018 “Smoking habits in the UK and its constituent countries” data set. This is available here.

Where a constituency boundary mirrors a single local authority boundary:
• The ONS smoking prevalence and population figures in Table 4 are used.
• The estimated number of smokers has been calculated by multiplying the smoking prevalence by the weighted population of the local authority.

 

Where a constituency is made up of two or more local authorities:
• The smoking prevalence for a given constituency is calculated by taking an average of the smoking prevalence of each local authority that it is made up of.
• If a local authority is split across two or more constituencies, the estimated population is taken by simply splitting the local authority population data evenly by the number of constituencies it covers. The data has not been weighted according to the exact proportion of how much each local authority appears within each constituency boundary. The total for the constituency is the sum of the apportioned populations from the local authorities within the constituency boundary.
• If a local authority is split across two or more constituencies, the estimated number of smokers has been calculated by multiplying the smoking prevalence by the weighted population of the local authority, and then splitting this evenly across the number of constituencies it covers. The total for the constituency is the sum of the apportioned number of smokers from the local authorities within the constituency boundary.

 

Philip Morris International: Delivering a Smoke-Free Future
Philip Morris International (PMI) is leading a transformation in the tobacco industry to create a smoke-free future and ultimately replace cigarettes with smoke-free products to the benefit of adults who would otherwise continue to smoke, society, the company and its shareholders. PMI is a leading international tobacco company engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes, smoke-free products and associated electronic devices and accessories, and other nicotine-containing products in markets outside the U.S. PMI is building a future on a new category of smoke-free products that, while not risk-free, are a much better choice than continuing to smoke. Through multidisciplinary capabilities in product development, state-of-the-art facilities and scientific substantiation, PMI aims to ensure that its smoke-free products meet adult consumer preferences and rigorous regulatory requirements. PMI's smoke-free IQOS product portfolio includes heat-not-burn and nicotine-containing vapour products. As of March 31, 2019, PMI estimates that approximately 7.4 million adult smokers around the world have already stopped smoking and switched to PMI’s heat-not-burn product, which is currently available for sale in 47 markets in key cities or nationwide under the IQOS brand.
For more information, please visit www.pmi.com and www.pmiscience.com.

Contact:
For media enquiries: Shelley Frosdick
Phone: 020 7025 1373 - Email: pml@pha-media.com

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